Jag fick en fråga idag från en läsare. Han frågade följande: ”Vad är skillnaden mellan Out of Sample och Forward testing?”
Svar: ”I princip är det samma sak. Skillanaden är att out of sample använder man ofta som ett bergrepp när man jobbar med WFO – walk forward optimering. Men som sagt, egentligen är det samma sak.”
Här kan du läsa och hitta fler läsarfrågor om trading, aktiesparande eller privatekonomi.
I haven’t seen much correlation between good trading and intelligence. Some outstanding traders are quite intelligent, but a few aren’t. Many outstanding intelligent people are horrible traders. Average intelligence is enough.
-William Eckhardt
Most traders take a good system and destroy it by trying to make it into a perfect system.
-Trader X
Jag fick en fråga idag från en läsare. Han frågade följande: ”Hur bestämmer man vilken timeframe eller tidsintervall som är bäst?”
Svar: ”Jag testar allting. Det är svårt att bestämma exakt vilken timeframe eller tidsintervall man skall använda innan man har provat allt. En av de styrande faktorerna i detta kan vara begränsningar i ditt eget liv. Typ att du kanske inte kan handla på vissa tider pga jobb eller liknande. En annan faktor som också styr är vad som verkligen fungerar. Edger är svåra att hitta och man får vara nöjd och glad med de man hittar och rätta sig efter detta.”
Här kan du läsa och hitta fler läsarfrågor om trading, aktiesparande eller privatekonomi.
Jag fick frågan i rubriken från en läsare idag. Mitt svar till honom var som så här:
Jag skulle råda dig att göra det någon månad eller två minst och att du dessutom är lönsam under större delen av tiden som du gör detta. Det gäller inte minst i slutet av din papertrading. Du kan även läsa mer i denna artikel som handlar om papperstrading.
Jag gick för några år sedan en kurs hos Kevin Davey. En trader som för några år sedan vann världsmästerskapen i trading. Jag letar
alltid efter nya ideér och influenser för min trading och jag hade hört en hel del bra om Kevin Davey och hans kurs. Förutom att jag lärde mig en hel del så ingick även hans Strategy club vilken jag tycker är helt fantastisk.
För dig som är ny eller hållit på ett tag och vill ta det där sista steget inom trading så är hans kurs helt perfekt. Den tar dig igenom allt som är viktigt inom trading och algotrading och du kommer kunna komma igång långt mycket snabbare än om du skulle försöka själv. Förutom kursen så innefattar den också en klubb som jag nämner ovan. Den har varit min största behållning.
Strategy club är en klubb där du skickar över strategier till Kevin och där han simulerar strategierna i 6 månader för att se att dom håller för riktig trading. De som lyckas med att skicka över strategier, som är tillräckligt robusta efter 6 månader av simulering, får som vinst alla andra strategier som passerat den månaden. Detta sker på månadsbasis så det kommer hela tiden nya strategier.
Sedan detta startade så ligger jag som nummer 1 i världen för mest robusta strategier som passerat i hans Strategy club. Jag har i skrivande stund 30% mer strategier som passerat kriterierna för robusthet än tvåan. Det är många som vill åt dom där strategierna kan jag lova så konkurrensen är hård för den där förstaplatsen.
Varför nämner jag detta? Jo, för att jag vill att du skall få en oberoende källa på att mina metoder och strategier fungerar. Mina metoder är ganska lika Kevins även om dom inte är helt lika.
Varje gång jag passerar i klubben för en månad så får jag mellan 5-15 nya strategier som är gjorda av traders runt om i världen. Det är en grym källa till inspiration och kunskap! Det är bland annat med inspiration från dessa som jag kan hålla igång min egen algotradingkurs med så många bra och robusta strategier.
Sedan jag gick kursen för några år sedan så ser jag Kevin som min vän och kollega inom trading. Jag har nu tillsammans med honom snickrat ihop ett grymt erbjudande. Du har nu möjlighet att gå hans kurs och samtidigt få 2 av mina strategier som passerat hans hårda kriterier för vad som är robust för en trading strategi. Detta är som bonus utöver de strategier som ingår i hans kurs. Strategierna som jag erbjuder som en del av detta paket är gjorda efter de regler som han lär ut i kursen. Detta ger dig en unik möjlighet att få ännu fler strategier till din trading efter att du gått hans kurs.
Jag tror att du kommer ha en del frågor eller kanske du vill bolla lite koncept och ideér med någon annan som har efarenhet och har gått hans kurs. Du har nu den möjligheten också. Jag erbjuder nu 1 timmas konsultation efter att du gårr färdigt hans kurs.
Kravet är att du anmäler dig via länken nedan eller meddelar Kevin att du kommer från Samuelssons Rapport. Priset är en dollar billigare än det som han själv erbjuder så priset är till och med mindre än det han själv erbjuder.
Du är alltid välkommen att kontakta mig direkt om du har några frågor om hans kurs. Du når mig på info (snabel A) samuelssonsrapport.se
• Have you ever developed a terrific looking strategy, only to lose money trading it live?
• Do you know if your trading systems really have an ”edge?”
• Do you keep testing – adding rules and filters – until your backtest looks awesome?
• Do you struggle to find new trading ideas?
If you said ”yes” to one or more of the questions above, my ”Strategy Factory®” workshop may be just what you need. After getting instant access to over 20 hours of instructional videos, followed by a one-day 8 hour live online class and 2 months of one-on-one e-mail support, you’ll have the know-how to start up and operate your own ”Strategy Factory” – a repeatable process to successfully develop multiple algorithmic trading strategies and automated trading strategies.
This is not your typical trading course: This is a complete workshop on proper algorithmic strategy development, taught by award winning full time trader and best selling author Kevin Davey (that’s me!). PLUS, you’ll also receive fully disclosed code for 5 automated trading strategies – nearly identical strategies to ones that I actually trade.
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Comments From Recent Strategy Factory Workshop Attendees…
”Kevin, Finally I made it happen and I can use my time in testing strategies and stop wasting time on things that aren’t going to make me money, numbers don’t lie. I’m very happy. The journey isn’t over but I have started it in a good way because of you.
My first sim live run started today thanks to your great videos I do this in a confident and structured way, see attached picture, this is going to be fun! I’m studying your material hard so I can send you my strategies for the club!
Cheers and Thanks again, ” – Yves S, London, United Kingdom – May 2018 attendee
”Thanks a lot for the seminar, Kevin” – Jen K, Germany – Feb 2018 attendee
”Thanks! This has been great.” – David K., California, USA – March 2018 attendee
”Kevin’s seminar was very thorough. I’m much more optimistic about my ability to trade algorithmic strategies. I now have the concepts and tools to make algorithmic trading possible.” – Jonathan M Indiana, US
”Thank you! I appreciate your support! I’m excited to get working on the process.” – Gary M, Idaho, USA – Feb 2018 attendee
”Thank you very much for this incredible day and workshop!!!” – Hector S., Spain – Feb 2018 attendee
”Great seminar!, I walked away with a clear understanding of robust system development. Wish I had known this information 8 years ago when first started trading systems.” – Keith O. California, US
”Thanks Kevin, great workshop today. Much appreciated. ” – Joel B., Ottawa, Canada – May 2018 attendee
My ”Strategy Factory” Can Help You Avoid This!
I compare creating trading strategies to manufacturing a product in a factory. In any kind of factory, raw material comes in one door, various machines and people transform the material inside the facility, and the finished product goes out the exit door. The same idea applies to trading strategies. Trading ideas come in one door, you (and your trading tools and software) evaluate the idea, improve it, assemble it, polish it, etc. in the factory, and then a finished strategy exits the factory, ready to trade.
Creating strategies is NOT easy work, but doing it yourself – designing and developing strategies the right way – is MUCH, MUCH better than buying strategies from unscrupulous vendors, or subscribing to signals. Why?
2016 Trading Course Of The Year – Winner!
As voted by the readers at TraderPlanet.com
From Other Strategy Factory Workshop Attendees…
”Kevin Davey is a consummate trading professional. I recommend The Strategy Factory Workshop to those who are seriously interested in improving their trading proficiency without reservation.” – Keith U, New York, US
”Kevin is very approachable and the email support he provides for 4 months following the class is arguably the most valuable part because you will have a lot of questions as you get down to the nuts and bolts of developing your own strategies.” – Sep 2014 attendee
”This is a great companion presentation that is fitting with the book. One of the most informative, telling it how it is, what’s needed and down to earth presentations I’ve attended and worth every dollar!” – Bruce Auckland, New Zealand
”Overall, the workshop is very well organized and presented given the volume of material covered.” – December 2014 Attendee
Check Out This Independent Review of My Workshop!
There is an excellent 3rd party website out there called ”Trading Schools.org.” They have given my workshop the highest rating possible. Check out their review by clicking on the summary at left.
Why Am I Called ”A Little Rat” In This Review of My Workshop?
5 Star Review – ”Kevin Davey continues to produce stellar trading results. 100% verifiable. 100% transparent. ” Read the review to find out why I am called ”A Little Rat” !!!
This Course Can Be Free!Through a special program I have with Tradestation, if you fund a new account at Tradestation, you can receive 20% commission rebates until the course is 100% paid for! Click here for more details.
A Nice Heartfelt Letter From A Recent Strategy Factory Workshop Attendee…
Hi Kevin, I was doing some end of the year accounting and I wanted to thank you for putting together your book and class.
In April 2017 I moved from discretionary systems to more technical systems following some principles from Van Tharp. I stopped using others’ trading systems in an effort to make my own. I created 5 trading systems using Excel spreadhseets.
From April through May I went up about 8% and then went down 21% (net was about minus 15% loss). Toward the end of that swing I picked up your book. I was handling my father-in-laws estate and was out of town, but I ordered the book and had it delivered to my parents place in the same state. I devoured the book and figured out I was doing some things wrong. I cancelled three of my five strategies and applied your system to the other 2 and found they were okay.
Since I read your book in May, I am up about 21%. Since I took your strategy class (in October) I am up about $14%. I know it can all turn around and I can lose it all in a day (as I warn my wife, and she reminds me in times of exuberance), but I am expectant for the future. I have about 15 strategies that I developed using your system (though I don’t use your incubation standards as rigorously as you recommend i’m ashamed to say).
I appreciate your methodical method and the expertise you bring to the process. I enjoy having systems that I have confidence in, even if they lose for a few trades.
My personal goals include greater financial freedom and generosity toward some non-profit organizations I believe in. Back in April, before anything came in, I donated to one non-profit believing I would hit my goals for trading. After going in the hole, I was really praying that I could figure the markets out well enough to trade them. I’m starting to learn. Thanks for what you have done in filling that learning gap. (My kids rolled their eyes at my $3000 training day with you in October, but they are now encouraged that we can learn things that turn our patterns around.)
When I was learning about trading a few years ago, a seasoned trader said that the first year of trading the primary goal should be simple: don’t lose money. Well, I lost in year one. Year two I was flat. Finally, in year 3, I made up for the loss and then some.
Thanks again and happy new year.
Sincerely, James W.
Proud and Active Members Of The Strategy Factory ClubIn September of last year, 25 Strategy Factory students – Club members who previously attended the online workshop – traveled to Cleveland Ohio for a long weekend of trading collaboration, advanced instruction and lots of good meals (group dinner at my house is shown below).
Think about that for a minute – these traders all paid for the online workshop, concluded they received a ton of value, THEN decided to spend more time and money to travel to Cleveland to collaborate with other Strategy Factory students. That to me shows you the value of the workshop – traders are actively using the Strategy Factory process in their daily trading!
These traders are all active in the Strategy Factory Club, so as you submit strategies, you will be sharing with some of these traders.
How Does the Strategy Factory Workshop Work?
First, a week before the all day workshop, you can have a 15 minute online meeting with me, one on one (or you can save it for later). I want to understand your experience, your likes and dislikes, and your learning style to help me present the right info to you during the class. Remember, there are limited new students in each workshop, so you’ll end up feeling like I am talking to you, and you alone!
During the class, over the course of 8 hours, you’ll learn:
Here is what the workshop day will look like:
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Are you curious about Bitcoin, and how to trade it? I can help! I include, with your workshop, a special bonus video where I share some strategies with Strategy Factory students on how to trade the new Bitcoin futures available at the CBOE exchange. The best thing is that this is a regulated exchange, so you can trade there much more safely as compared to most places… |
From Other Strategy Factory Class Attendees…
”I wanted to let you know that since implementing your Strategy Factory process August 2015, I have real gains of 217%. I have 50 walkforward passing strategies, with around 20 operating normally and being non-correlated. That is pretty awesome to me! I just want to thank you again for your course and access to your experience. I would likely be out of the game if I didn’t implement your process.” – Eric B., Colorado, US (September 2017)
”I was a decorated derivatives broker and a former Wall St trader. I rose quickly over the years at the firms I worked. As a Wall St trader, I closely watched and studied every trader I met. As a broker, I observed the strategies and PnL’s of well over 35,000 traders and their accounts. Yet in all this time, I never observed a trader as consistently successful as Kevin Davey. Kevin’s secret sauce is his process. I never saw a trader who had a process as thorough and well-developed as Kevin Strategy Factory Process. Therefore it should be no mystery why I never observed trading success that was as consistent and reproducible as Kevin Davey’s. This stuff can be learned, but it is seldom taught. Kevin’s Strategy Factory Workshop and its support are pure Gold.” – Ali F., Nebraska, US
”I have been trying various coaches, newsletters and the like and it is really refreshing to find someone with a process that makes sense and has some ”meat on the bone” so to speak. Thanks again ” – Gary C, Florida, US – January 2016 attendee
”Absolutely fascinating day! Really, really good stuff. Sincere thanks, Kevin for an idea-enriching workshop!! ” – Luc V, Brussels, Belgium – January 2016 attendee
”Awesome, Kevin! Thank you SO much for putting this together and inviting us to join the journey! ” – Al B, Michigan, US – January 2016 attendee, September 2017 Live attendee
”The workshop itself was well structured and packed with real trading methodologies born from Kevin’s trading experience. Kevin is one of those rare breeds in this industry — both extremely knowledgeable as well as down-to-earth pragmatic and honest. The candor with which he speaks during the workshop is a breath of fresh air. I am extremely happy with both the value and quality of his workshop and support! ” – Dave F., New York, US – March 2015 attendee
”This has revolutionized the way I develop strategies and given me the structure to follow through on my ideas.” – Jim W., New Hampshire, US
”Kevin and the Strategy Factory can help you make the leap from trading as a hobby to trading as a profession.” – Bryan, Omaha NE, US
”I really sense that you care about your students succeeding, its very refreshing, I just want you to know I appreciate that and realize how rare it is in this business.” – Jeff R, Vietnam
”Kevin’s support is excellent. The email replies were usually within an hour. That is great service. The support after the seminar is invaluable. Great job Kevin!” – Nov 2014 attendee
Instant Access To All Material, Plus A Live, Online, 8 Hour Class
When you sign up, I provide you with a full package of material. It will take you a while to get through it all, but once you do you will be able to start developing strategies. Plus, you are invited to the full day, live online event, so you can ask questions live and hear the questions of other students. The combination of recorded material, followed by a live class, has been shown to be a great way to learn new material.
The Workshop Is Fully Recorded, Plus You Can Attend More Than Once!
This is a live online event, but don’t worry if you have to step away and miss some of the workshop. Each workshop is recorded, so you can review the material over and over. Plus, as long as space is available, you can attend later workshops for a ”refresher,” to ensure you absorb all the information – at no additional charge!
My goal is to get you developing good trading strategies!
Added Bonus Benefit:I have created a FREE optional addition to the Strategy Factory, utilizing the combined effort of the Factory students. Basically, you can benefit from all other students who produce winning strategies. I call it the ”Strategy Factory Club.” You get 3 strategy entries into the Club as part of the class.
This free membership is pretty simple:
This Club is a great way to increase your number of strategies very quickly! Just watch this 2 minute video…
One Students’ Experience In The ”Club”
Student 1:
“The Strategy Factory Club has been one of the unexpected best parts of the Strategy Factory Workshop. The Workshop gave me the tools to be able to develop my own strategies. However, the Club is what keeps me actively practicing what I learned in the Workshop. On top of that the Club provides a method for developing diversity amongst my systems that I would not be able to do as quickly on my own. For the first 2 months of the Club, I provided 2 strategies and as part of the outcome, I now have 7 strategies all of which have been vetted through the criteria of the Strategy Factory Workshop and are ready to trade immediately. Pretty amazing.” – Chris O.
Over 200 Strategy Factory Strategies Have Passed a Real Time Performance Test – Yours Could Be Next! Here are just some of the hypothetical strategies former students have created, using the principles I teach in the Strategy Factory workshop. Many of these come from students who never before produced a properly designed trading system until they learned how from me!
What Do Previous Attendees Say?
When I present the Strategy Factory workshop, I always try to get feedback from participants. I want the full day to be as jam-packed as possible with information, and I want all students to walk away knowing their hard earned money was well spent. A quality event is always my goal!
Since I started the Strategy Factory Workshop, every single class, except for a couple, has been sold out in advance! Participants had anywhere from 1 – 40 years of trading experience, and afterward most took a short survey. Here is what they said:
Your Workshop (and Ongoing Support) Teacher
In this dog-eat-dog trading business, I think it is important for you to know who is ”behind the curtain” of any trading vendor you deal with. Does the vendor even trade? Has the vendor ever traded? What is the vendor’s reputation in trading forums, and on the internet? How much can you trust and believe who you are dealing with?
Well, here are some important facts about me:
1) I’ve been trading for over 25 years, not always successfully. But, I’ve learned from my mistakes. You can learn from my mistakes, too – and for a lot less than it cost me!
2) Most trading educators do not even trade real money! I trade real money. Vendors that do not trade raise a HUGE red flag.
3) I finished in 1st or 2nd place three consecutive years in the world’s premier trading contest. It is a grueling 12 month competition against some of the best traders on the planet. Most importantly, it was REAL MONEY being traded, not some simulated account.
4) I am the author of the critically acclaimed trading book ”Building Winning Algorithmic Trading Systems” published by Wiley Finance. My book also won Traderplanet.com’s ”2014 Book of The Year” AND ”2016 Book of The Year” STAR award >> voted as a best trading book.
5) Over the years, I’ve been asked to present at many online and in-person events. I usually decline, since first and foremost I am a TRADER. That is a critical point. Most vendors ”sell the dream,” but I ”live the dream.”
6) On a volunteer basis, I used to run the ”Battle of the Bots” contest on a major trading forum. I have a solid history of helping others become better algorithmic traders.
7) You can find me dispensing advice in a few select trading forums (primarily two – BigMikeTrading.com (futures.io) and Tradestation.com client support forum). My nickname is ”kevinkdog” on both. You can easily check out the quality of my advice at either place. Look through my posts – am I dispensing sound advice, or am I just slinging bullsh**? I think you’ll find it easy to discern.
8) For the 2 months of follow up e-mails, only I will be answering your questions and helping you along. I do not pass you off to some inferior trader or wannabe trader, like so many vendors do. I will be with you the whole time!
Finally, please google my name (” Kevin Davey trader” for example), google KJ Trading Systems, and do your own due diligence before you sign up. You’ll find I am not a sleazy snake oil, rainbow selling trading vendor. In fact, I KNOW I am the exact opposite, because I tell the truth (I like to sleep well, with a clean conscience). Since my reputation is something I hold dear, most sleazy trading vendors hate me!
What Happens After The Workshop?
After the workshop, I won’t turn you loose to flounder. You’ll have 2 months of e-mail help. You simply e-mail me whatever questions you may have, and I’ll respond – typically the same day. Also, you have a 15 minute one-on-one call with me before or after the workshop. Finally, if you wish, I’ll help you connect with other attendees. Talking to someone on the same path as you can also greatly help you.
What About Algo Trading Strategies – Do I Get Anything I Can Immediately Trade From This Workshop?
Some attendees say this is the best part of the workshop (I disagree – I think the 2 months of one-on-one support is the best part – but who am I to argue?). Not only do you learn how to create your own strategies, but I give you 5 complete strategies that you can trade as soon as you desire! You get the complete code (plain English and Tradestation format) to all 5 of the strategies – for your own personal use, to use (or modify) as you wish.
Hypothetical Results Shown Below (RB strategy not shown):
From other recent Strategy Factory Webinar attendees…
”Working with Kevin for a short time now already helped me to gain a lot more confidence in my own testing skills and I am looking forward to raise them to a professional level by using the provided process and 4 month support. I had some interesting mindshifts about the power of diversification and comparison to position sizing and the process of testing in total so far and I am sure more will follow. I don’t remember a chance to work with an award winning fulltime trader as a mentor and I am happy to be part of it. And who knows… maybe Kevin is the next Richard Dennis and we are his first new turtles ;)” – Gino T., Munich, Germany
”Kevin’s book was an eye-opener. For every one who feels the same the webinar is a must. – It gave me inspiration to see how he took a inconspicuous trading idea and made a top performing system out of it. It motivated me to do the same and I am looking forward to get his support and make the most out of The Strategy Factory.” – Nov 2014 attendee
”This was terrific and a lot of information in one sitting. At times I felt like I was trying absorb too much, but what is helpful is 4 months of support after; it is truly terrific and allows you to ask questions that you may have not been able to formulate during the webinar. Thaks for keeping the class size small.” – December 2014 Attendee
”A broad and complete spectrum of trading concepts were presented in a concise, orderly manner for both new and experienced traders alike. I personally walked away with new perspective on position sizing, diversification, and maintaining real time system performance that I intend to implement in my own trading.”– October 2014 Attendee
”I would love to offer a suggestion, but the day was FILLED with good content that was appropriate to everyone, well organized, indexed and well presented. – December 2014 Attendee
What Exactly Do I Get For Attending?
The above 3 items by themselves are really awesome, and together have a value of $9,497. And of course, you will only pay a fraction of that amount. But I am going a step further – I am including a bunch of bonuses to push this deal over the top!
With these 2 bonuses, all together this package has a value of over $15,000. But I am not done yet!
So, if you add it all up, I am providing you over $20,000 in instruction, support, strategies, and trading information. In other words, you get a TON for your money! And I am going to charge you a lot less than what the package is worth…
What Does This Workshop Cost?
The webinar costs $3,199. Considering the ”ready to trade” strategies you’ll get as part of the package, and all the other bonuses, this price is an absolute steal. Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results, but you may make your money back fairly quickly just from the strategies I provide.
RISK FREE: If within 10 days of signing up, you decide you do not wish to continue, you can request a refund, and I’ll quickly send you a full refund via PayPal.
Frequently Asked Questions
What kind of trader should take this course?
The ”Strategy Factory” course is designed for mechanical/algorithmic traders – traders who want to develop, test and evaluate their systems before putting money on the line. Ideally, your rules will be 100% written down and programmable. If you trade with discretion, though, this workshop can help you, too. Just let me know during our pre-webinar talk, and I’ll make sure I include building blocks for a discretionary trader strategy factory. What kind of experience level should I have to take this course?
You’ll get the most out of the class if you have at least some trading and/or development experience. If you are brand new to trading, DON’T TAKE THIS COURSE – learn the basics first! Ideally, you’ll have trading software (Tradestation, Ninja Trader, Multicharts, etc.) that you have worked with for at least a few months. To succeed with the information I provide, you must be able to program your own trading strategies. In the long run, coming up with your own ideas, programming them yourself and testing them in the strategy factory is the clearest route to success.
How is this different from all the disappointing trading systems / packages etc. I’ve bought before?
Well, first you have to realize that most people out there selling trading products don’t actually trade. Their success is in their ability to be a quick talking sales ”shark” – and guess what, you are the poor ”minnow.” They make their living from selling trading products. On the other hand, I make my living off of trading. This workshop is based on my ACTUAL trading experience, not paper trading or simulator experience. It makes for a big difference.
Second, I am not promising you rainbows and sunshine in this workshop. The material is hardcore, in-depth, and complicated. The trading development process you must follow afterwards is intense, and many times frustrating. In fact, you may never be able to build a strategy that meets your goals. But, at the same time, using the information I provide you’ll stop throwing money at vendors who are useless, and you’ll stop trading systems that have no edge. Your level of ”trader savviness” will definitely increase after the workshop.
This workshop is pretty expensive – comments?
Honestly, if you don’t see the value in this workshop, you probably should just look for something else. But, if you are serious about trading, and serious about developing strategies, then this class is for you. You’ll learn techniques that should lead to strategies much more profitable than the workshop cost.
Also, there is a way to get the course free thru a rebate program I have with Tradestation. Just e-mail for step by step details on this terrific program – Tradestation will actually cover the COMPLETE course cost!
The strategies I give you alone are worth at least triple the workshop cost! If you can’t see that, please don’t take the course.
Do I have to read or buy your algorithmic trading book beforehand?
Absolutely not! It certainly would be a benefit to read my book (and other strategy development books) before and after the workshop, though. Repeated exposure to material can only help you as you develop your strategy building process.
Why not allow more people in the workshop and charge less?
Since I want people to ask questions during the class, and I talk to everyone before or after the workshop, it is impossible to serve a big crowd. Plus, during the 2 months of follow up, I am the only person answering your questions via e-mail. Finally, remember that my main job is trading – I want to keep it that way!
Is there a money back guarantee?
You have 10 days to evaluate the package I send you. If you do not like it, send it back and I will give you a full refund.
Are the strategies you provide legit?
Yes. All of the strategies were developed using techniques I discuss in the workshop. I have been pretty pleased with the results. But remember, all results you see must be treated as hypothetical, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Be sure to read and understand the disclaimer at the bottom of this page.
Will I really be able to create my own strategies after attending your workshop?
Definitely yes. But, developing strategies is hard work, and you’ll have to throw away a lot of systems before you find one you can trade. Many traders I know are happy with finding 1-3 new strategies per year. You may do better or worse than that, but like all things in life, the results you get depend on the effort you put forth.
The beauty of the Strategy Factory is that developing strategies will become a step by step procedure for you. If a strategy does not meet the performance goals you establish, it gets tossed out. In this way, you can objectively examine each strategy, and rely less on emotion and ”fuzzy math” in selecting strategies to trade.
After the workshop, will you collaborate on systems with me?
Possibly. My time is pretty limited, but I will assist you however I can during the 2 month follow up period. I may be able to give you some ideas for a strategy you have, and those ideas might make all the difference. If you are looking to collaborate, the Strategy Factory Club could be what you want. It is included as part of the package, and allows students to exchange verified strategies. But, you should definitely plan on developing strategies on your own – that is what the course is for!
I do not live in the US. Do you offer any times suited to my schedule?
Yes, I occasionally do. Check the available times listed at the bottom of the page. If you would like a different time, just let me know. If there is enough interest, I’ll hold a workshop at that time.
Can’t I just get the info from your book, and save some money?
Sure! You can also learn how to play soccer or play baseball by reading a book. But, many times learning it ”live” leads to better comprehension, increased retention and longer lasting success. The workshop provides all that, in a comfortable setting (your home or office!).
What if I cannot make any of the dates/times listed below?
Remember, you get instant access to the material, so attending the live class is really an extra way to soak up Strategy factory knowledge. Plus, I hold these live events multiple times a year, so you can always attend a later live, online session.
The question isn’t “Is the market efficient?” but rather “How inefficient is the market?” and “How can we exploit this?
-Edward Thor
Nya siffror för konjunkturbarometern med deta från Konjunkturinstistutet. Jag gjorde detta diagram 2011 och har inte uppdaterat det förrän nu. Enligt tidigare inlägg så var under och över 110 för konjunkturbarometern extrema värden. Just nu så har vi fallit tillbaka i konjunkturbarometern en aning från extremt höga värden. Tittar vi på siffror sedan 1997 så kan vi se att barometern aldrig har varit över 110 utan att börsen har fallit ganska mycket efteråt. Vi fick ett fall i februari som skulle kunna vara denna reaktion op extremvärdet men det skulle i så fall vara en mycket mindre reaktion än tidigare. Antingen var det reaktionen som vi fick där eller så ligger den fortfarande framför oss. 2 av de 3 tidigare topparna blev rejäla krascher på börsen. Hur blir det denna gången med data baserad på konjunkturbarometern ?
konjunkturbarometern
Konjunkturinstitutet frågar varje månad svenska företag och hushåll om deras syn på ekonomin, nu och i framtiden. Resultaten publiceras i rapporten Konjunkturbarometern.
Konjunkturbarometern ger snabba, kvalitativa indikationer om ekonomiska variabler. Indikatorerna är betydelsefulla som underlag för prognosarbetet.
Företagsbarometern frågar drygt 6 000 företag varje månad om hur de upplever nuläget och vad de har för förväntningar om den närmaste framtiden. Fyra gånger om året görs en kvartalsbarometer med fler frågor.
Enkäterna är utformade i samråd med Näringslivets nämnd för regelgranskning (NNR). Hushållsbarometern intervjuar varje månad 1 500 svenska hushåll. Frågorna handlar om hushållens syn på den egna och den svenska ekonomin, förväntningar om räntor och inflation samt om planerade inköp av kapitalvaror och sparande.
Konjunkturbarometern ingår i Europeiska kommissionens program för harmonisering av denna typ av undersökningar ”The Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys”. Detta innebär ett för EU-länderna gemensamt ramverk för genomförandet av undersökningen i form av tidpunkt för utskick, undersökta branscher samt utformning av frågor. Alla EU:s medlemsländer genomför månatliga barometerundersökningar. Tidsserierna som Konjunkturinstitutet publicerar kan skilja sig från motsvarande serier publicerade av kommissionen. Det beror bland annat på att man använder olika metoder för att säsongsrensa tidsserierna. Kommissionen beräknar även nettotalen för frågorna i hushållsbarometern något annorlunda än Konjunkturinstitutet samt beräknar hushållens konfidensindikator utifrån en annan uppsättning frågor.
Europeiska kommissionens redovisning av harmoniserade konjunkturbarometrar
Resultaten från Konjunkturbarometerns frågor till svenska hushåll är en del av Sveriges officiella statistik. Den officiella statistiken ska alltid finnas tillgänglig i elektronisk form.
I ansvaret för det officiella statistiken ingår att se till att statistiken i konjunkturbarometern är:
Barometerindikatorn sammanfattar konfidensindikatorerna för industri, tjänster, bygg, detaljhandel och hushåll, som baseras på företagens och hushållens svar från enkäterna i Konjunkturbarometern.
Syftet med barometerindikatorn är att snabbt fånga stämningsläget i den svenska ekonomin.
Indikatorerna ändras något vid varje ny uppdatering. Det beror på att en ny säsongsrensning av tidsserierna görs varje månad. Allt som oftast påverkas då närliggande observationer med en liten justering uppåt eller nedåt.
Barometerindikatorn kan närmast jämföras med EU-kommissionens Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI). Barometerindikatorn har liksom ESI ett medelvärde på 100 och en standardavvikelse på 10. Värden över 100 motsvarar en starkare ekonomi än normalt och värden över 110 en mycket starkare ekonomi än normalt. Värden under 100 respektive under 90 visar en svagare respektive mycket svagare ekonomi än normalt. Specialstudier
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