Oljepriset följer ”sannolikheten” för ett krig mot Iran

By 18 mars, 2012Trading

This is a clever chart from Morgan Stanley’s Hussein Allidina, CFA comparing the price of Brent Crude since December against the odds on InTrade (this contract) of an airstrike on Iran by the end of 2012.

It’s just 4 months, and it’s not perfect, but it’s clever, and we’ll be watching the two lines to see if they keep moving together.


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